Trading Research Hub

crypto state of affairs

my portfolio performance, what i’ve been working on, and my view on crypto as a whole

Aug 31 • pedma

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July 2026

the jumpiness problem

i cut trading costs by 52%. it wasn't worth it. here's what i learned anyway.

Jul 27

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June 2026

I am ending this paid newsletter

Why I'm shutting down subscriptions, issuing refunds BUT not stopping the writing.

Jun 27 • pedma

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May 2026

Right Decision, Wrong Week

Process over outcome, the gambler's fallacy in reverse, and the peace of mind I hadn't had in 18 months

May 26 • pedma

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I Sold Hyperliquid

Why I cut a 60% position to 10% after 17 months

May 20 • pedma

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One Net or Fifteen

Multi-signal continuous trend on crypto, signal selection by IC, and the construction-risk hedge nobody quantifies.

May 15 • pedma

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April 2026

Dirty Crypto Carry Part 3: The Money's in the Middle

Forward returns over equity curves, and what funding really tells you about price.

Apr 28 • pedma

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Same Model, Four Exchanges, Four Different Stories

What I found when I ran the same crypto momentum system on Binance, Kraken, Hyperliquid and Extended

Apr 19 • pedma

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Why Is the WTIOIL Contract on Hyperliquid Paying -400% Funding?

A quick explainer on contract rolls, backwardation, and why a simple arb doesn't actually work

Apr 9 • pedma

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Dirty Crypto Carry — Part 2

What the data says about funding persistence, fat tails, and why chasing the juiciest rates is not easy

Apr 5 • pedma

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Dirty Crypto Carry — Part 1

Testing a funding rate carry strategy on Hyperliquid perps

Apr 2 • pedma

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March 2026

Sector Caps in Crypto — Do They Actually Help?

74% of my losses came from one sector. Can we fix it?

Mar 29 • pedma

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